exchange reserves keeps reshaping liquidity conditions
The loudest story is not always the decisive one.
Ignoring protocol revenue because exchange reserves looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.
Put beside current chatter on “Coinbase (COIN) Misses Revenue Estimates as Users Fall, Armstrong Sets Up New Share Sales,” the incentive problem looks clearer.
Historically, stretches where exchange reserves leads without support from compliance tooling invite sharper reversals.
If token unlocks deteriorates while drawdown recovery looks fine, the tape often turns defensive first.
Useful frameworks survive longer than seasonal slogans.
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