cycle psychology is the overlooked driver of basis compression

Historically, stretches where cycle psychology leads without support from open interest invite sharper reversals.

Useful frameworks survive longer than seasonal slogans.

Put beside current chatter on “Kraken restricts accounts amid suspected $133M EU crypto theft,” the incentive problem looks clearer.

The loudest story is not always the decisive one.

The loudest story is not always the decisive one.

The edge is often just refusing to confuse volume with conviction.

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