custody rails remains the swing factor for hedging demand

Treat custody rails as the constraint and miner behavior as the amplifier, not the other way around.

Revisit assumptions weekly; markets change faster than slogans.

That debate sits next to today’s market focus around “Liquid Reserve Gap Falls to 250 BTC After 300 BTC Top.”

Improvements in stablecoins without confirmation from dollar strength tend to fade faster.

Keeping a written thesis helps avoid narrative whiplash.

Ignoring stablecoins because dollar strength looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.

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